In the dynamic realm of financial markets, traders continuously seek reliable indicators to navigate the complexities and uncertainties. Among the myriad tools available, NLT signals stand out by their purported ability to provide actionable insights into market movements. Retail traders primarily use futures as day trading instruments, and we invite you to consider long-term trading them with high yield expectations.
This article delves into the power of combining NLT Top-Line and NLT SwingPower (our newest development) for a higher participation rate in longer-term directional price moves of futures contracts, and we document the mechanical performance of trading signals when confirmed.
NLT Top-Line highlights crucial price turning points early at momentum changes.
NLT SwingPower recognizes changes in the frequency of transactions, often preceding a solid directional price move and extrapolating a price move forecast.
In our research, we investigate the trading performance of weekly chart signals.
Methodology
At NeverLossTrading (NLT), we favor eight futures contracts most friendly for retail traders based on their volume (number of contracts exchanged per day), volatility, and accessibility. In addition, we check that they are independent and not correlated movers.
NLT Favored Futures for Retail Traders
With their inherent leverage, futures offer the potential for remarkable returns, enticing traders with the promise of substantial profits. However, this allure comes hand in hand with significant risk, especially when trades do not unfold as anticipated. The table vividly illustrates the broad spectrum of return expectations, ranging from an impressive 38% to a staggering 67%.
By the NLT concept, we are extrapolating potential price moves as SPU (Speed Unit) and briefly explain how we let the system forecast or extrapolate price moves after signal confirmation (price threshold surpassed in the price movement of the next candle).
NLT SPU Move Model
The basis of the NLT SPU Move Model derives from:
Basis of the NLT SPU Move Model
In the next step, we will document the results of NLT Trade Indications for the past twelve months, charting our favored Futures contracts. Simplifying the process, we accept signals mechanically, not applying the rules you will learn during our one-on-one mentorship, where we focus on your specific wants and needs.
Next, we analyze the past year’s results and are almost ashamed of the highly positive results documented.
Analysis of Confirmed Signals
Each NLT signal spells out a price threshold: Buy > or Sell <; The next candle’s price movement must tick out the set price threshold; otherwise, we will ignore it. Dots on the charts are exit points.
On our list of preferred futures contracts, we reference ETFs you can trade if Futures are not your favorite instruments or in addition to the NLT Delta Force Options Trading Concept.
Examples of Confirmed and not Confirmed Signals
After an in-depth chart analysis, we let the chart decide when to buy or sell, and we documented mechanical trading results, accepting each confirmed signal.
NLT Signal Performance
In addition, we check for correlated price move happenings and uncorrelated ones to document the following results:
Week of the Confirmed NLT Signal
In summary:
23 independent confirmed trading opportunities
Six happenings with more than one symbol triggered confirmed buying or selling opportunities:
5/15/2023 (/ZB and /CL)
7/24/2023 (/ZB, /ZN, /6E)
9/25/2023 (/ZB, /GC)
10/16/2023 (/6E, /6C)
10/30/2023 (/ES, /ZB, /6C)
11/27/2023 (/ZN, /GC)
Twenty-nine trading opportunities in a one-year time frame: 2.4 trades per month
The holding time of open positions varied between one and ten weeks, with an average of about three weeks for open positions.
Considering the high ROI rates (38% to 67%) inherent in longer-term futures trading, those instruments offer an excellent investment opportunity for retail traders. By trading six days a week around the clock, they allow for fully automated trading, triggering at the system-set target or stop with a broker that allows you GTC orders (good till canceled). Next, we share the charts for researching these highly independent trading instruments.
If you prefer stock options trading, we referenced the best choice underlying in our table, like SPY about the E-Mini S&P 500 futures contract. We then help you to identify with the NLT Delta Force Concept:
The strike price to choose.
The time to options expiration to select
The maximum premium to pay or to apply a different options trading strategy like a credit or debit spread, with the minimum premium to receive or the maximum premium to pay.
Whatever instrument you choose, here are the charts and NLT indications to base your decisions on:
Trade What You See, Let the Chart Tell When To Buy or Sell!
E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Conctract
30 Years Bond Futures
10 Year Notes Futures
Euro Futures
Australian Dollar Futures
Canadian Dolla Futures
Crude Oil Futures
Gold Contract Futures
Conclusion
In conclusion, our comprehensive analysis integrating the NLT SwingPower signal with the NLT Top-Line on weekly charts has yielded compelling results.
We are offering the two systems together in a bundle deal and are happy to demonstrate live how they perform:
In the dynamic realm of financial markets, traders continuously seek reliable indicators to navigate the complexities and uncertainties. Among the myriad tools available, NLT signals stand out by their purported ability to provide actionable insights into market movements.
This article delves into the power of combining NLT Top-Line and NLT SwingPower (our newest development) for a higher participation rate in directional price moves, and we document the mechanical performance of trading signals when confirmed.
NLT Top-Line highlights crucial price turning points early at momentum changes.
NLT SwingPower recognizes underlying changes in the frequency of transactions, often preseeding a solid directional price move and extrapolating a price move forecast.
In our research, we took a longer-term trading approach to investigate the trading performance of weekly chart signals.
Methodology
Stock market indexes usually have less directional price pressure than stocks; however, we want to take the challenge and pick:
Two ETFs related to stock market indexes, SPY(S&P 500) and QQQ (NASDAQ 100)
Three independent stocks (AAPL, UNH, and UPS) that fulfill the NLT Options Trading Requirements to trade them with the NLT Delta Force concept
We mechanically compare signal congruence and win rate between July 24, 2023, and March 8, 2024. and see how the indicators supplement each other and how frequent price moves happen jointly with the index or independently.
Analysis of Confirmed Signals
Each NLT signal spells out a price threshold: Buy > or Sell <; the next candle’s price movement must tick out the set price threshold; otherwise, we will ignore it. Dots on the charts are exit points.
Examples of Confirmed and not Confirmed Signals
After an in-depth chart analysis, we let the chart tell when to buy or sell, and we documented the following results:
The five symbols investigated showed 27 signals during the research period and were categorized into singular, collinear, and independent signals. Among these:
14 signals were directly related to NLT SwingPower.
12 to NLT Top-Line.
16 collinear and 11 independent signals.
Notably, the analysis revealed a remarkable success rate, with 25 wins and only two losses recorded across all signals.
Confirmed Signals
Yellow highlights related signals, and white, independent signals.
The two systems, NLT Top-Line and Swing trading, have an independent and different basis for appraising and forecasting price moves, and the results show how well they supplement each other and allow for a higher participation rate in directional price moves.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves risk, and individuals should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Next, we share the charts, where we printed the date of the trade initiation on confirmed signals. The three stocks picked are all derived from different industry sectors; however, our systems apply to all types of assets: Stocks, futures, and FOREX and all time frames.
QQQ
SPY
AAPL
UNH
UPS
In conclusion, our comprehensive analysis integrating the NLT SwingPower signal with the NLT Top-Line on weekly charts has yielded compelling results.
We are offering the two systems together in a bundle deal and are happy to demonstrate live how they perform:
Private investors make critical decisions in less time than ever in today’s investment landscape. On average, traders decide to enter or exit an investment in less than two minutes. Rather than lamenting this fact, we acknowledge it and empower our traders/investors to make informed, fact-based decisions within this brief window.
Let’s delve into how NLT Investors can navigate swing trading and longer-term investing decisions efficiently and effectively:
NLT Alerts
Our NLT Alerts serve as invaluable tools for investors, providing timely notifications of market developments and opportunities. These alerts are meticulously curated to ensure relevance and accuracy, enabling investors to stay ahead of the curve and make swift decisions with confidence with asset focus on:
Stocks
Futures
FOREX
Experience the power of our comprehensive market analysis firsthand! We meticulously monitor daily, weekly, and four-hour signals, providing our subscribers with a comprehensive overview of market dynamics. Our daily summaries offer concise insights into key developments, complemented by detailed analyses to guide informed decision-making.
As a gesture of confidence in the value we provide, we invite you to receive our daily stock alert summary free for a week. Take advantage of this opportunity to assess the depth and quality of our insights, and discover firsthand how our analysis can enhance your trading strategy.
For traders engaged in Futures or FOREX markets, we provide a comprehensive summary tailored to your specific needs. However, we understand the importance of clarity in interpreting our alerts, which is why we offer additional interaction to ensure you fully grasp our methodology.
Our goal is to empower traders to seize opportunities at crucial price turning points, equipped with pre-defined entry thresholds, exits, and stops. By engaging with us further, you’ll gain invaluable insights into how to leverage our alerts effectively, maximizing your potential for success in these dynamic markets.
Navigating investment decisions solely from a table can be a daunting task. At the core of our methodology lies a fundamental principle: “trade what you see, let the chart tell when to buy or sell.” In line with this ethos, we equip our clients with sophisticated charting software, a vital tool that empowers them to make informed decisions with confidence and clarity.
Charting Software
Harnessing the power of advanced charting software, our investors allow the chart to dictate when to buy or sell. By analyzing key indicators and price movements, investors can precisely identify optimal entry and exit points, all within a few minutes.
Trade what you see: Let the chart tell when to buy or sell!
Weekly Charts for Longer-Term Investing
We employ weekly charts as our primary analytical tool to manage positions over multiple weeks or months. Within the following chart example, we utilize NLT Top-Line and NLT Swing Power signals to inform our decision-making process. Additionally, we rely on visual indicators such as dots, which delineate potential exit points based on our analysis. Furthermore, the red line of the NLT Double Decker serves as a dynamic trailing stop line, helping safeguard profits and manage risk effectively throughout the trade.
The yellow indicator on the price chart is the newly launched NLT SwingPower indicator. To explain what it does, we are happy to send you a PDF write-up.
SPY October 2023 to February 2024, Weekly Development
We had four trade indications: blue from NLT Top-Line and yellow from NLT Swing Power, which we will now discuss in detail to share how we select following or not following chart indications.
#
Indicator
1
NLT Top-Line Buy > $436.29, confirmed with a target at the second dot, where we anticipate a slight pullback and exit. This signal was expected to come to the second dot in a maximum of ten candles, which it did.
2
NLT SwingPower Buy > $451.52 came to the system-set target. If you operated with both systems, then it would be a directional trad confirming indicator.
3
NLT Top-Line Buy > $436.29, confirmed with a target at the second dot, where we anticipate a slight pullback and exit. This signal was expected to come to the second dot in a maximum of ten candles, which it did.
4
NLT SwingPower Buy > $451.52 came to the system-set target. If you operated with both systems, then it would be a directional trad confirming indicator.
It’s good to see how the NLT systems performed on the way up, but how did they support solid decisions on the way down?
SPY October 2023 to February 2024, Weekly Development
We picked the period of January to September 2023 and will discuss the individual signals of the system performance, discussing nine trade indications.
#
Indicator
Result
1
Double Sell signal that came to the system set target.
worked
2
Additional sell signal on the way to target that we neglect (Buy < $437.95, buy not entering a new signal at the exit candle: a simple rule to learn.
no trade
3
Buy_S> $437.84 that came to the system set target (dot on the chart).
worked
4/5
Two additional buy signals are on the way to target, which we neglect.
no trade
6
NLT End of Purple Zone sell signal that reached its target.
worked
7
NLT Top-Line Buy signal that failed.
failed
8
The yellow sell signal came to the target.
worked
9
Orange NLT Top-Line Signal that worked.
worked
10
Directional confirming yellow buys signal we neglect on the way to target
no trade
11
NLT Top-Line sell signal that reached its target
worked
12
NLT Top-Line sell signal that reached its target
worked
Eight trading opportunities where seven worked, and one failed: this is what we call high probability trading.
Swing Trading Example
Our swing trading signals typically span from one to ten days, contingent upon fulfilling predetermined price thresholds with each new candle. This meticulous approach ensures that trades are only initiated when specific criteria align with our system’s parameters, thereby enhancing the probability of success.
In individual stock trading, we recognize the heightened price pressure exhibited compared to broader stock market indices when there is a discernible shift in supply or demand dynamics. This understanding underscores the importance of precision in identifying and responding to such market movements.
To provide further clarity on the efficacy of our trading systems in navigating complex scenarios, we present a comparative analysis of short and long positions in the SPY, offering insights into their performance under varying market conditions. If you find value in leveraging high-probability systems to inform your trading decisions, we cordially invite you to participate in an online demo. During this session, you will have the opportunity to select stocks, commodities, or FOREX pairs of interest, and together, we will evaluate the outcomes of both successful and unsuccessful trades, allowing you to gauge the effectiveness of our approach firsthand.
The chart shows ten price move indications we evaluate and discuss for your understanding.
#
Indicator
Result
1
Red NLT Top-Line Sell signal, confirmed and came to target.
worked
2
Yellow buy signal, we neglected on the way to the target of the first signal.
no trade
3
Red NLT Top-Line Sell signal, confirmed and came to target.
worked
4
Yellow buy signal, we neglected on the way to the target of the prior signal.
no trade
5
Yellow buy signal that worked.
worked
6
Yellow buy signal, not confirmed in the price movement to the next candle.
no trade
7
Red NLT Sell Signal, confirmed.
worked
8
We neglect the yellow buy signal because the blue channel border cuts the price movement to target short.
no trade
9
Two independent buy signals came to target.
worked
10
Buy signal that came to target.
worked
Our approach systematically adheres to predefined rules, ensuring that trades are not executed mechanically at every price movement indication. Instead, we exercise discretion and selectivity, only entering trades when the subsequent candle’s price movement exceeds the established system-set threshold.
In our personalized one-on-one coaching sessions, we provide comprehensive guidance and mentorship over several months. Through this intensive program, we equip you with the knowledge and skills to make informed decisions based on NLT indications. By allowing the chart to dictate optimal entry and exit points, we empower you to navigate the markets with confidence and precision.
To underscore the integrity of our methodology and dispel any notion of cherry-picking favorable periods, we deliberately select the most current price indications for SPY from a daily chart when composing this article. This deliberate approach provides an accurate and unbiased representation of our system’s performance, showcasing its efficacy across market conditions.
SPY January and February 2023
#
Indicator
Result
1
Blue NLT Top-Line buy signal was confirmed and came to target.
worked
2
Yellow buy signal, we neglected on the way to the target of the first signal.
no trade
3
Red NLT Top-Line sell signal not confirmed.
no trade
4
Yellow buy signal, confirmed.
worked
5
Red NLT sell signal not confirmed.
no trade
6
Blue NLT buy signal confirmed.
worked
7
We neglected the yellow buy signal on the way to the target of the blue signal while it was confirmed and worked in itself.
no trade
We could undoubtedly add example over example, but if you are interested in working with our systems, we offer you a free demo:
NeverLossTrading provides a solid foundation for day trading, ensuring that students, regardless of their experience level, clearly understand market dynamics and order types by acting at crucial price turning points. In addition to conventional time-based day trading strategies, we have pioneered the NLT Timeless Concept, which operates based on system-specified price increment changes. Within our timeless day trading framework, we integrate multiple systems to optimize accuracy and effectiveness. Nevertheless, it is crucial to emphasize that our trading approach is inherently probabilistic. While we strive for precision, we acknowledge that no trade outcome can be guaranteed with absolute certainty.
NLT Timeless Day Trading Chart
In the above chart, we highlighted four potential trade situations:
The first two trade indications occurred in what we call an NLT Purple Zone (indication of directional price ambiguity), and we do not trade as long as zones of price ambiguity hold.
In Situation-3, the NLT Purple Zone ended in a long signal: Buy > $4,789. The target for the trade was at the dot of the chart and the stop at the bottom of the indication candle.
Situation-4 offered a short opportunity at a strong signal, NLT PowerTower Down, Sell < $4787.50, combined with an NLT Breakout signal. Knowing from the NLT Dashboard where to enter, we placed a sell-stop order, which did not immediately fill but continued the price move and came to target (dot on the chart).
NLT Day Trading Chart Example
From the left to the right, we highlighted three trade potentials:
Situation-1: Long opportunity, expressed by two buy signals. The upward price move is trailable by the red line of the blue frame that follows the price momentum.
Situation-2 did not lead to a trade because a black dashed line cut the potential price movement to target short, and we spared the trade.
Situation-3: A short trade with a bracket order developed, came to target, and produced $337.50 per contract.
If this is for you, we are happy to demonstrate how our systems work in real time:
In conclusion, while investment decision-making may accelerate, NLT Investors are equipped with the tools and strategies needed to thrive in this dynamic environment. By leveraging NLT Alerts, advanced charting software, trade repair strategies, and a combination of daily and weekly charts, investors can make informed decisions within two minutes and confidently seize opportunities.
Are you ready for a solid basis for quick trading and investing decisions?
We teach and coach one-on-one, and spots are limited.
Thomas Barmann (inventor and founder of NeverLossTrading)