Spot and Trade Institutional Money Moves

Algorithmic Trading with Human Interaction for:

Day Traders, Swing Traders, Long-Term Investors

Wednesday, March 24, 2021

Measure and Follow Money Flow

 The basis of NeverLossTrading is to measure and follow money flow: a powerful approach for high probability trading and investing.

Where is the edge:

As a private investor, you are faster in out of positions than institutions can do.



We use complicated algorithmic models to indicate when to expect directional price moves and how far they shall reach. But you do not need to be concerned about the math; our systems put clearly defined entry, exit, stop-conditions on the chart for you: easy to read and follow. Here a day trading example:

NLT Timeless E-Mini S&P 500 Futures, March 23, 2021


The NLT Timeless approach takes time out of the cohesion and concentrates on the price change as the triggering element to trade:

What you see on the chart:

1.  Sell Signal: Sell < $3,922.8, and in the price movement of the next candle, the set price threshold for a sell-stop order was surpassed and triggered a short trade.

2.  Target-1: Gray dot on the chart, standing for the short-term trading goal. Here about 8-points or a value change of the underlying futures contract of $400.

3.  Target-2: Further out target, we trail for with the red line of the NLT Double Decker, framing the price move in red.

4.  NLT Lime Line: A price gravitation line. Ther, we assume price accumulation but also a pressure for prices to get to this level. In our case, the NLT Lime-Line and target-2 coincide and allowed for a 22-point price change or a value change of the underlying futures contract of $1,100.

5.  The chart shows muliple price continuation signals on the way down, which we appreciate but disregard while we are in a trade.

The system sure works for other assets too, and if you are interested to learn more: contact@NeverLossTrading.com, Subj. TimeLess

Institutional investments dominate more than 85% of the financial markets. Price is the result of a change in supply and demand. It is good to know where the institutional money goes; such, our indicators mapped out the sectors with extraordinary attention during the trading day of March 23, 2021. The NeverLossTrading indicators highlighted sectors NLT Power Tower setups (exceptional happenings): indicating selling pressure in the sectors of Biotech and Gold Miners.


Today, March 24, 2021, at 8:30 a.m. ET, Durable Goods orders will give an indication for the industry sector development, which had selling pressure yesterday. At 10 a.m. ET, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifies before Congress, providing a broad overview of the economy and monetary policy. Powell's prepared remarks are published ahead of the appearance on Capitol Hill. We report more details on our NLT Alerts, where we list stocks and funds with a price move indication.

Follow our market indications on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/neverlosstrading/

We focus on teaching systems and strategies to operate in the financials market one-on-one, at your best available days and times.

Let us be your guide to a consistent trader and investor and schedule a free consulting session, where you can see live what our systems can do for you:

contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj: Consulting Hour

Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited: Do not miss out!

For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you.

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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Tuesday, March 2, 2021

Stock Trading Challenges and Solutions

 For more than ten years, the stock markets were moving upward and allowed for trend trading, but what do you do if there is no trend to make your friend?

The answer is: Momentum trading; however, it is easier said than done? What momentum to trade for and how?

Read on and watch the movie…click.

Already two questions at once:

-      What momentum, meaning the price distance to trade for

-      How, meaning with which risk-limiting strategy

We simplify life for you with the NLT Timeless Swing Trading Concept: The chart will tell when to buy or sell!

A new price results from a change in supply and demand. In other words: The price express where supply and demand are finding the equilibrium or match. 

The following graph shows a situation with an additional demand for a stock at $100. If no additional supply occurs, the equilibrium will move up to match supply and demand at 110.

Supply and Demand Schematic

In the NLT Timeless Swing Trading Concept, we make price-move-increments the deciding factor and not time; this is why it is called timeless.

All decision making dimensions are specified at once:

-      Entry Conditions: When to trade and probability, with buy-stop or sell-stop orders

-      Exit Condition: When is the target reached

-      Stop Condition: When are you wrong and exit

-      Risk Management: Risk limiting  and risk-adjusted by considering the Relation of (Entry - Exit) / (Entry – Stop)

-      Time: For how long to maximum stay in a trade

-      Options Conditions: Strike price to choose, time to expiration, maximum price to pay for the option

Why do options come into play? I want to trade stocks only?

Momentum trades are typically swing-trades, and positions are kept open for a couple of days. Trading stocks only exposes you to the risk of overnight gaps. Your stop is a market stop, and if you considered a 2% risk and the stock gaps overnight by 10% or more, you book that loss because you accepted an unbalanced risk. Drawdowns are the biggest threat for building up a swing trading account.

The solution to this problem is:

·       Trading for the stock price development buy choosing options: in our case, buying Puts or Calls

·       Trading stocks in combination with options: Long stock or short stock, together with a protective option

Why do options offer a limited risk trading strategy?

In the strategies we choose, the maximum risk to take is limited by the premium to pay.

But how to know if an option is reasonably priced or overpriced?

This is where the NLT Timeless Tick comes into play: A proprietary algorithm for NLT concept owners that tells you:

·       Price-move, not time based when to enter and exit

·       Acceptable price range: NLT Timeless Tick ± 20%

·       Strike price to choose

·       Minimum time to expiration to select

The underlying stock reaching the target will define the exit or the stop, all auto-executed by conditional orders, not requiring you to be in front of your computer.

Best explained by an example:

Here is how the chart looks like:

AAPL, NLT Timeless Swing Trading Chart, 1/20 – 2/24/2021

Chart Analysis:

·       There were seven trade situations: five winners (71%) and two losses (29%), which was in spec. with our minimum expectation of 65% winners (NLT high probability base)

·       Entry condition: when the spelled out price threshold is surpassed in the price development of the next candle:

o   Example: Situation-1, Buy > 136.20 was fulfilled in the next candle and lead to a price move to the target: dots on the chart. Targets are also spelled out in the upper left NLT dashboard.

·       Stops at the red crossbars

·       Never enter a trade at the exit candle: stop or target.

·       If buying Put or Call options, never pay more than the NLT Timeless Tick + 20%. Expect an option return of about 60% with similar risk, staying for a maximum of four days in a trade.

·       Profit calculation: 0.6 x 5 – 0.6 x 2 = 1.8 or 180% ROI (return on investment) in 30 days

SPY, NLT Timeless Swing Trading Chart, 1/26 – 2/26/2021



Situation-1: Sell threshold confirmed and came to target the same day.

Situation-2: Sell threshold confirmed and came to target the same day.

Situation-3: Buy threshold confirmed and came to target at the opening of the next day.

Situation-4: Buy > 385.94 came to target the day after entry. The signal after would not be considered by being three price increments away from the buy initiation candle: Buy > 375. 52. We teach those rules in the hours of joint training and coaching

Situation-5: Sell < $388.56 was confirmed the next day and allowed a solid opportunity to buy Put options for following the price development that came to target three days after. Further price indications along the way to target or stop will not be considered.

Situation-6: Buy > $389.73 was stopped two days after entry, and we would not enter at the signal of the exit candle.

Situation-7: the trade is still open at the point of writing this article.

In total: five winning trades, one loss, and one open trade: high probability as we strive for with short-term swing trading opportunities.

The NLT Timeless Swing Trading Concept is only one element of what we teach in the hours of working together.  Here a short overview of what you will all experience by operating with automated trading decisions in all of your accounts: 

NLT Learning Program Overview


Let us be your guide to a consistent trader and investor and schedule a free consulting session, where you can see live what our systems can do for you:

contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj: Consulting Hour

Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited: Do not miss out!

For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you.

www.NeverLossTrading.com

Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support