Trade Less, Not More: - = +

Summary: Your broker wants you to trade often; we have a different opinion and put statistical proof behind it. Feel welcome to learn the reasons for our argument and read to understand why we say: less is more – = + in trading.

The likelihood of predicting the future price movement is called the system probability. For example, if your system accurately predicts a price move in one of two trades, your system probability is 50%. For producing income from trading the financial markets, you better come to high-probability-trading ≥ 65% to bend the odds in your favor. The likelihood of winning six or more trades out of 10 with a high probability system is >75% compared to operating with a random outcome.

We generally use the words traders and investors synonymously; traders hold positions in shorter terms like intraday or multiple days, investors in various weeks, months, or years. The actions to put less trading is more (- = +) in action differ between day trading, swing trading, and longer-term investing.

In the first example, let’s assume a day trading environment where each trade is independent of the prior trade. In reality, this is not the case, you need to consider the last happening before you enter into a transaction, but we want to spare this out here to come to a mathematical formula. The probability of winning three trades in a row is calculated by multiplying the system probability for each transaction:

The likelihood of winning three trades in a row =

System Probability x System Probability x System Probability

We focus and teach to operate with systems at or above 65% likelihood for predicting the price movement assets in distance and time.

Why two dimensions: distance and time?

A solid system should give you a forecast; for example, a $1 price move should be accomplished in one to five candles. If the price move is not at target or stops after five candles, you must either stay in the trade or leave it. So here comes the first critical point: When you follow statistical principles, you close the transaction and move your money to an asset where prices move. Hence it requires you to have more than one asset to trade and to follow pre-formulated principles.

We teach our students, particularly day traders, to close the books on an asset after two wins and be done for the day.

Why is that?

First, your financial plan should get you to your weekly goal by winning four trades, one per day.

All trading systems do not forecast price moves with 100% certainty but with a likelihood, and we propose at or above 65%; hence, you calculate the odds of winning as follows:

Calculating the Probability for Multiple Winners in a Row

Hence, if you booked two winning trades, you are done for the day because your third trade in a row has only a statistical chance of 27% for reaching your target and a 73% chance of losing.

All statistics, but as a trader, you are a probability thinker and only act when the odds are in your favor.

Trades find a structured way to make sound and repetitive decisions and prevent having an urge to trade and being unable to stop: They let the chart tell when to buy or sell!

Unfortunately, many who want to succeed in trading do not train for the needed attitude, habit, and statistical behavior; thus, many traders struggle and never make it to being consistent. A process to achieve consistency in trading can be learned and followed; however, you must dedicate yourself to a new decision-making basis and habits to initiate this change.

The financial markets offer an excellent opportunity to earn stable returns. However, if trading endeavors were easy, nobody would ever go to work; however, they are learnable.

Multiple variables are crucial for controlling trading consistency, and we like to guide you through those and put together a graphic that lists the essential elements for trading success:

Vital Elements for Trading Success

You do not want to follow the crowd and learn classroom style. Trading concepts and plans need to be tailor-made for your specific wants and needs so that you can execute them at your best available days and times. In more than ten years of trading education, we have not found two traders with the same risk tolerance, affinity to assets, times of the day and week they are available, the income they want to make, account holdings, etc.

Hence, you need a mentor and concept to develop your decision-making basis on which you repetitively decide.

We translate this into a simple action:

“Let the chart tell when to buy or sell.”

However, if it were that easy, everybody would make money in the financial markets: The difference lies in the type of chart and indicators you base your decisions on.

Here are two chart examples using the NLT Timeless concept where candles are drawn by price movement and not by time. The first example covers Crude Oil Futures, and the second is the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Contract.

Crude Oil Futures on the NLT Timeless Day Trading Chart

Situation-1: Buy_T> 90.45, a strong price move signal with volume support formulated a price threshold in the 5 a.m. candle, which was confirmed by the 6 a.m. candle and led to a long trade. You either traded to the gray point on the chart or trailed the trade with the red lines of the blue price frame around the up-move, where you exit after a 2-SPU price move is reached (some rules to learn, helping you to be a disciplined trader).

Situation-2: Multiple signals combined call for a short trade when the price of the next candle drops below $91.05 (10 a.m. EST), which it did in the 11 a.m. EST candle and led to a short trade, with the same conditions explained in situation-1.

The chart we use here for demonstration purposes is the most liked; it combines multiple NLT systems for the highest efficiency in day trading.

E-Mini S&P 500 Futures on the NLT Timeless Chart

The chart shows an up-move framed in blue with two trade potentials and a down move framed in red with three signals. Yes, by human nature, we want to participate in all opportunities, but now that you know your risk increases, you close the books after two wins.

Your takeaway:

• Operate with a proven high probability system
• Trade only at perfect signal combination and one or two times a day; your expected income is higher than multi-trading, as tempting as it will be

Why and how do swing traders act differently than day traders?

When you intend to hold positions for a couple of days, you decide from a higher level action point than a day trader is looking at, and you consider:

• 75% of the stocks move with the stock market index
• 5% follow independent underlying price action, like being crude oil related, instead of overall market related
• 10% show an independent intraday price movement that will not lead to a critical price move the next day
• 5% have an uncorrelated price move because that is news related
• 5% show an individual price move by a shift in institutional money, and those qualify for solid directional trading opportunities

What do you do if you follow the rule of – = +?

You trade when the overall market moves, period!

Is it not very tempting to find those 5% individual movers?

From an ego perspective, yes, but from a risk perspective, you go with the flow and trade less than more.

Market Analysis by the NeverLossTrading Top-Line Chart

The above chart highlights the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures contract price development from June 6, 2022, to September 6, 2022, on a daily chart, as a point of reference for the overall stock market development. In addition, we highlighted four trade situations and will discuss the appropriate decision-making:

Situation-1: On June 9, the system painted a sell signal (sell > $4,014.8). The price direction was confirmed in the price movement of the next day and led to a short trade. Dots on the chart showed the first and second targets of this trade. If a trader desired to trail the trade down, he would use the red line of the red frame.

Situation-2: A bottom price turning point got indicated, expressed by the orange buy signals.

Situation-3: Strong buy signals were confirmed, leading to an upward price move that could be trailed by the red line of the blue frame around the price move: NLT Double Decker study.

Situation-4: A price turning point at the top (orange signal), followed by two more sell signals confirmed.

Our charts offer a straightforward and effective way to analyze the overall market and its direction. When you consider that about 75% of the stocks’ show price moves in tune with the overall market, you know what to do and can act by letting the chart tell when to buy or sell!

Shorting stocks will not be allowed if you trade from an IRA; however, you can either operate with reverse ETFs or deal with the NLT Delta Force Options Concept.

Our blog and YouTube channel hold many examples of systems and decision-making points.

If you want to learn more about what we are doing and offer to you, write an email to:

contact@NeverLossTrading.com, Subj.: September 2022, and we take one hour of our time to talk to you and see if what we offer is a fit!

We calculate one hour at a value of $400.

Do not miss out; schedule now!

Take away:

• As a swing trader, you best act on overall moves by picking favorable stocks giving you a meaningful balance of risk to reward when the overall market moves.
• Focusing on stocks with individual price moves is risky
• Trade only when the market moves and cover long and short opportunities with appropriate concepts.

What to do if you are a long-term investor and want to hold positions for weeks and months?

At this time and stage of the stock market development, if you follow this strategy, you have either already lost 25% of your investment money, and you better learn the following:

• Apply shorter-term trading strategies when the market is undecided about longer-term
• Participate in up and downside moves
• Have a hedge in place to protect yourself against another potential down move
• As an investor, you pick the opportunities the market allows, and you do not accept an unbalanced risk

Are you ready for a shift change and learn that less can be more in trading, and are you prepared for:

• Acting with a system probability > 65%
• Mechanical rules for entry, exit, stop
• Trade at perfect moments only
• Consider overall factors, patterns
• Risk and reward in an acceptable balance
• Risk-averse trading
• Holding positions to target
• Do not add to losers
• Stick with a trading strategy. Follow a business plan – action plan and financial plan
• Trade for meaningful price moves
• Systematic trading
• Having a mentor to learn from

To succeed in trading, you best work with an experienced coach and learn much about trading. Our #1 competitive advantage is the support and customer service we offer. We work one-on-one with you to specify what we teach to your specific wants and needs; hence, if your knowledge base is not expanding rapidly, you are doing something wrong.

Ongoing education and mentoring are crucial to longevity in this business. Veteran traders have been through more ups and downs than you can imagine. So, experienced pros have probably experienced it whatever you’re going through.

If you are ready to make a difference to your trading:

We are ready to share our experiences and help you build your trading business. Trading is not a typical career, and you best learn from those who are long-term in this business to cope with the rollercoaster of the financial markets. We are here to help and provide feedback on what you might be doing right or wrong.

Strive for improved trading results, and we will find out which of our systems suits you best.

We are happy to hear back from you,

Thomas Barmann (inventor and founder of NeverLossTrading)

www.NeverLossTrading.com

Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support

Trend and Momentum Trading

Make the trend your friend is the fundamental slogan traders and investors try to follow; however, you only know in hindsight when a momentum price move led to a trend or not. Learn how you can act on momentum price changes and catch trends early.

For over a decade, we had upwards-moving stock markets, where technology stocks led the markets to new highs.

S&P 500 and NADASQ 100 Development since 2008

The above chart shows the monthly S&P 500 and the NASDAQ 100 development since 2008. NASDAQ stocks took the lead and built the basis of the strong uptrend: AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, and TSLA are just some of the examples of exceptional value-gaining stocks:

Value Development Example of NASDAQ 100 Stocks

However, this trend broke at the beginning of 2022, and our NeverLossTrading Top-Line Chart showed more sell than buy signals in alternating sequences this year.

NLT Top-Line Daily Stock Market Development 2022

When the direction of a trend is known in hindsight:

How to make the trend your friend; when you do not know where to start or end?

Every trader or investor has to come up with a conclusion or strategy for deciding in such a market environment, where principles that have worked for more than ten years are no more applicable.

Behavior or habit change is a challenge for everybody; however, if you continue with the strategy you know, it might end up being a costly endeavor, being invested in the markets:

• The average large-cap stock market investor who follows the S&P 500 is down 20% year-to-date
• NASDAQ 100 investors are down about 25%

Hence, we propose a behavioral change and new strategies:

• Trade at crucial price turning points when the momentum changes from buy to sell and sell to buy with the help of solid indicators like the ones of NLT Top-Line.
• Let the system extrapolate how far a price move shall reach (1-SPU, 2-SPU, trailing with the red NLT Double Decker Line on the chart)
• Have strategies on hand to participate in long and short opportunities, even from your IRAs
• Act by letting the system and chart tell when to buy or sell

When you check through our chart, it is evident how the system forecasted price turning points with high accuracy. We magnify the most recent price move of the E-Mini S&P 500 futures contract, symbolic of the overall stock market on the daily NLT Top-Line chart.

Stock Market Development 7/14 – 9/9/22, NLT Top-Line

What would be different if you knew about those crucial price turning points?

Above, we used a daily chart as an example; however, the system will also alert price momentum changes on lower timeframes and on what we call the NeverLossTrading Timeless concept.

So what do you need to succeed in our new market environment?

• You need a high probability system: accuracy of forecasting price movements ≥ 65%, giving you a reason for entering each trade. You always have a stop-loss and a target price level to take profits. For example, in the chart above, NLT Top-Line spells out price thresholds to enter into a long or short trade: Buy >, Sell <. When the critical price level is surpassed in the next candle’s price development, your order goes to the market: Buy-Stop or Sell-Stop Bracket Order.
• Market action can change quickly, and you need to be able to change with it. Hence, you need the capabilities and strategies on hand to switch from participating in up and downside moves.
• Trade where prices move, not where you think they should. Let the chart tell when to buy or sell and have a system-based trade finder or alert report to notice when institutional money moves in or out of assets.
• Adjust your trade size risk-based and in relation to the strength of the signal you are acting upon. The most you control in trading is the risk you accept.
• Keep a meaningful relation between risk and reward that considers a positive reward/risk ratio:(Return * Signal Probability) / (Risk * (1- Signal Probability) > 1.5

• Let your system give you a time perspective by when the target needs to be hit: in NLT Top-Line, the target-1 shall be hit after a maximum of five bars, target-2 after 10-bars.
• Never cut winners short and let losers run: this will ruin your trading account. Traders tend to press hard when they are down, and they get careless when they are up. You should have the same disciplined approach in either situation. So, learn from a professional who can teach you the needed habits to apply for being a consistent trader.
• Trade or invest according to your best available days and times. We use the words traders and investors synonymously; traders hold positions in shorter terms like intraday or multiple days, investors in various weeks, months, or years. Habit and action are the same; in shorter-term trading, you have less time to form sound decisions.
• Have and follow a business plan for trading success, including an action plan: when to trade and when not. In addition, a financial plan assumes how often you trade and the returns you strive for. Unfortunately, many traders take random information from different sources and put it together without a successful plan. The best way to learn to make money trading is to study a proven strategy and then carefully apply it in real-world market conditions.

As you see, not an easy undertaking:

If trading or investing were easy, nobody would ever go to work. They are not, but they are learnable.

To succeed in trading, you best work with an experienced coach and learn much about trading. Our #1 competitive advantage is the support and customer service we offer. We work one-on-one with you to specify what we teach to your specific wants and needs; hence, if your knowledge base is not expanding rapidly, you are doing something wrong.

Ongoing education and mentoring are crucial to longevity in this business. Veteran traders have been through more ups and downs than you can imagine. So, experienced pros have probably experienced it whatever you’re going through.

If you are ready to make a difference to your trading:

contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj.: Consulting Hour

Our charts offer a straightforward and effective way to analyze the overall market and its direction. When you consider that about 75% of the stocks’ show price moves in tune with the overall market, you know what to do and can act by letting the chart tell when to buy or sell!

Shorting stocks will not be allowed if you trade from an IRA; however, you can either operate with reverse ETFs or deal with the NLT Delta Force Options Concept.

Our blog and YouTube channel hold many examples of systems and decision-making points. Let us give you a day trading example:

The following charts use what we call the NLT Timeless Model. Instead of drawing a candle from a time perspective, we let the system define a price change as the crucial parameter to start a new candle. Hence, time is taken out of cohesion, and this will make your decisions less predictable; however, the stronger argument of the idea is:

We are helping you to simplify your trading decisions by specifying conditions to execute bracket or OCO orders along with the price movement of underlying assets.

The system works for all asset classes: Stocks, Futures, and FOREX.

In the base economic principle, price results from a change in supply and demand. Time is not considered a determining factor. The model assumes that markets regulate themselves instantaneously by economic principle, and we bring this on the chart for you to act at crucial price turning points.

NLT Timeless Day Trading Chart

The chart shows multiple trade situations along the price movement of the E-Mini S&P 500 futures contract.

Our signals formulate a price threshold, like Sell < $4,111.30; hence, you can place a buy-stop-order to $4,111, and your order will only fill if the required price point is reached in the price movement of the next candle.

Dots on the chart specify the exit; however, the order exit is also system-specified at the entry and such is the stop.

Following specific rules in trading is essential, leaving only very little room for discretionary decisions. Very little interpretation:

Trade What You See! Let the chart tell when to buy or sell!

By the way, the brand name NeverLossTrading does not promise never to lose a trade; it derives from the concept of trade repair, and Never Stop Loss Trading was a bit lengthy.

We are ready to share our experiences and help you build your trading business. Trading is not a typical career, and you best learn from those who are long-term in this business to cope with the rollercoaster of the financial markets. We are here to help and provide feedback on what you might be doing right or wrong.

Strive for improved trading results, and we will find out which of our systems suits you best. Here is a graphical description of vital trading elements:

contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj.: Consulting Hour

Vital Elements of Trading Success

Thomas Barmann (inventor and founder of NeverLossTrading)

www.NeverLossTrading.com

Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support

Traders Do Not Gamble

 In trading, as in gambling, you are acting with a likelihood of a chance to win or lose money. However, there is a considerable difference between those two, and we will help you not to trade with a gambling mindset.

A trader finds a structured way to make sound and repetitive decisions and prevents the following gambling attitude issues:

• To not carefully control how much they put down or risk
• Having an urge to trade and being unable to stop
• Becoming emotionally affected by single trades: Winning trades make you feel powerful and happy, while the opposite is true, and a losing trade makes you feel lousy.

Unfortunately, novice and experienced traders do not train for an attitude or habit change needed to succeed in the profession; thus, they struggle and never make it to being consistent traders. There is a process to achieve consistency in trading that can be learned and followed; however, you need to dedicate yourself to a new decision-making basis and habits to make this change happen.

We use the words traders and investors synonymously; traders hold positions in shorter terms like intraday or multiple days, investors in various weeks, months, or years. Habit and action are the same; in shorter-term trading, you have less time to form sound decisions.

The financial markets offer an excellent opportunity to earn stable returns. However, if trading endeavors were easy, nobody would ever go to work; however, they are learnable.

Multiple variables are crucial for controlling trading consistency, and we like to guide you through those and put together a graphic that lists the essential elements for trading success:

Vital Elements for Trading Success

You do not want to follow the crowd and learn classroom style. Trading concepts and plans need to be tailor-made for your specific wants and needs so that you can execute them at your best available days and times. In more than ten years of trading education, we have not found two traders with the same risk tolerance, affinity to assets, times of the day and week they are available, the income they want to make, account holdings, etc.

Hence, you need a mentor and concept to develop your decision-making basis on which you repetitively decide.

We translate this into a simple action:

“Let the chart tell when to buy or sell.”

However, if it were that easy, everybody would make money in the financial markets: The difference lies in the type of chart and indicators you base your decisions on.

Let us put a simple chart together that represents the overall stock market development:

Market Analysis by the NeverLossTrading Top-Line Chart

The above chart highlights the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures contract price development from June 6, 2022, to September 6, 2022, on a daily chart, as a point of reference for the overall stock market development. In addition, we highlighted four trade situations and will discuss the appropriate decision-making:

Situation-1: On June 9, the system painted a sell signal (sell > $4,014.8). The price direction was confirmed in the price movement of the next day and led to a short trade. Dots on the chart showed the first and second targets of this trade. If a trader desired to trail the trade down, he would use the red line of the red frame.

Situation-2: A bottom price turning point got indicated, expressed by the orange buy signals.

Situation-3: Strong buy signals were confirmed, leading to an upward price move that could be trailed by the red line of the blue frame around the price move: NLT Double Decker study.

Situation-4: A price turning point at the top (orange signal), followed by two more sell signals confirmed.

Our charts offer a straightforward and effective way to analyze the overall market and its direction. When you consider that about 75% of the stocks’ show price moves in tune with the overall market, you know what to do and can act by letting the chart tell when to buy or sell!

Shorting stocks will not be allowed if you trade from an IRA; however, you can either operate with reverse ETFs or deal with the NLT Delta Force Options Concept.

Our blog and YouTube channel hold many examples of systems and decision-making points.

If you want to learn more about what we are doing and offer to you, write an email to:

contact@NeverLossTrading.com, Subj.: September 2022, and we take one hour of our time to talk to you and see if what we offer is a fit!

We calculate one hour at a value of $400.

Do not miss out; schedule now!

There are rules to learn, and we will spend time together learning how to decide based on our indicators and setups.

Let us share an overview of learning elements to take away from our training and coaching sessions, which vary based on the system you choose, from four to twenty hours of teaching.

Summary of learning elements:

• Acting with a system probability > 65%
• Mechanical rules for entry, exit, stop
• Trade at perfect moments only
• Consider overall factors, patterns
• Risk and reward in an acceptable balance
• Risk-averse trading
• Holding positions to target
• Do not add to losers
• Stick with a trading strategy. Follow a business plan – action plan and financial plan
• Trade for meaningful price moves
• Systematic trading
• Having a mentor to learn from

We also help you to journal your trades. Such a journal provides excellent feedback on how you are developing, and you find a perfect example in this article on our Blog: How to Control Your Trading Results

To succeed in trading, you best work with an experienced coach and learn much about trading. Our #1 competitive advantage is the support and customer service we offer. We work one-on-one with you to specify what we teach to your specific wants and needs; hence, if your knowledge base is not expanding rapidly, you are doing something wrong.

Ongoing education and mentoring are crucial to longevity in this business. Veteran traders have been through more ups and downs than you can imagine. So, experienced pros have probably experienced it whatever you’re going through.

If you are ready to make a difference to your trading:

We are ready to share our experiences and help you build your trading business. Trading is not a typical career, and you best learn from those who are long-term in this business to cope with the rollercoaster of the financial markets. We are here to help and provide feedback on what you might be doing right or wrong.

Strive for improved trading results, and we will find out which of our systems suits you best.

We are happy to hear back from you,

Thomas Barmann (inventor and founder of NeverLossTrading)

www.NeverLossTrading.com

Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support

Why People Choose NeverLossTrading

 Before we go into the details: NeverLossTrading shares concepts and strategies for algorithmic trading with human interaction; it is not a promise to never lose a trade. The name came from our teaching of applying trade repair strategies instead of taking the stop loss, while Never Stop Loss Trading was a bit lengthy. We help clients to strive for trading consistency.

What is trading consistency?

Our Answer: If one realizes stable and regular profits in their trading, week after week, without substantial drawdowns and losses.

Consistency is every trader’s goal, but consistency is not a coincidence; it results from a process.

Let us make a short excursion to a weight loss program: you need to change your eating habits, measure and control your calorie intake, exercise, and create long-term life changes, or else the weight will stay or return. Goal setting, control, and dedication are essential; else, you might not get there if you do not know where you want to go!

The same counts for trading: there is a process to achieve consistency in trading that can be learned and followed; however, you need to dedicate yourself to a new decision-making basis and new habits to make this change happen.

We use the words traders and investors synonymously; traders hold positions in shorter terms like intraday or multiple days, investors in various weeks, months, or years. Habit and action are the same; in shorter-term trading, you have less time to form sound decisions.

The financial markets offer an excellent opportunity to earn stable returns. However, if trading endeavors were easy, nobody would ever go to work; however, they are learnable.

Multiple variables are crucial for controlling trading consistency, and we like to guide you through those.

NeverLossTrading is not for everybody; it is for serious traders with a meaningful account size above $20,000, who want to act on high probability trade setups at their best available times and asset affinity (Stocks, Options, Futures, and FOREX). We are offering systems and concepts for:

• Day Trading: opening and closing positions on the same day
• Swing Trading: holding positions for multiple days
• Investing: holding positions for weeks or months

We bring value to you by:

• Sharing how to operate at crucial price turning points with the assets of their choice: Stocks, options, futures, and FOREX, applying high probability trading decisions with mechanical entries, exits, and stops, leaving little up for interpretation, as day traders, swing traders or longer-term investors.
• You are learning in one-on-one training sessions at your best availability instead of sitting in a group of students where individual wants and needs are not considered much.
• Continuing to practice in a time of coaching where we help to get the decisions installed according to the business plan we jointly formulate, which expresses when to trade, how often, and how to execute orders.
• They want to be independent traders and operate on their analysis with the help of our charts, setups, and strategies. Opposite for people who wish to join a trading group where one says what to do.
• Participate in our knowledge and structured approach to the financial markets, where we teach the process to strive for trading success.
• Many of our clients sign up for more than one system or program because they achieved a payback on the initial investment, want a higher participation rate and accuracy, and value our services.

Our blog and YouTube channel hold many examples of systems and decision-making points.

If you want to learn more about what we are doing and offer to you, write an email to:

contact@NeverLossTrading.com, Subj.: September 2022, and we take one hour of our time to talk to you and see if what we offer is a fit!

Do not miss out; schedule now and receive a $400 consulting hour for free!

Find trading examples and more details on our blog, and we are ready to talk to you and looking forward to hearing back from you!

Thomas Barmann (inventor and founder of NeverLossTrading)

www.NeverLossTrading.com

Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support