Spot and Trade Institutional Money Moves

Algorithmic Trading with Human Interaction for:

Day Traders, Swing Traders, Long-Term Investors

Showing posts with label EUR/USD. Show all posts
Showing posts with label EUR/USD. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Predict and Trade Directional Price Moves

How do you know where prices will go?
As a trader, you have three choices:
  1. Going Long
  2. Going Short
  3. Staying Out
The same likelihood of occurrence could be associated with each of those choices: 33%; however, with the right tools on hand, you can eliminate the one or the other choice, reaching 66% predictability; stacking the odds of being on the right side of a trade into your favor.
This is exactly what you want to do: Trading at high probability chart setups.
Our basic system is called TradeColors.com and invites you to the world of algorithmic trading, offering you instruments to spot and follow institutional money moves:
Institutions dominate more than 85% of all trading decisions; by following institutional money moves you have a chance for being more on the right side of the trade direction:
Let us take a look at some chart examples:
Crude Oil Futures September 14 – 21, 2015, 4-Hour Chart: Trade entry at a two of the same color candles with pre-defined exit and not staying longer than five bars in the trade.
Crude Oil 4-hour Chart
A trade setup is given if two-blue candles form after a red candle and the high of the second blue candle is surpassed by the price development of the next candle: opposite on a two-red-candle-color-sequence: the low of the second red candle is surpassed in the price continuation of the next.
EUR/USD, September 18 – 21, 2015, 1-Hour Chart
TradeColors.com Euro
TSLA, August 5 to September 21, 2014, 4-Hour Chart
TradeColors.com TSLA
The TSLA chart reveals a little secret for Swing Traders: institutional money moves can be detected with a high probability on 4-hour charts. With the help of the NLT Watch-List indicators, you will be in the position to find assets with the referring two-candle-color-sequence without the need for going through 100’s of charts.
For more background on activity based trading, watch our introduction video to see how it works…click.
To be part of this: Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
If you are not already part of our free trading tips and webinars…sign up here.
Good trading,
Thomas
Good trading,
Thomas
NeverLossTrading
A division of Nobel Living, LLC
401 E. Las Olas Blvd. Suite 1400
Fort Lauderdale, FL 33301
Phone: +1 866 455 4520

The risk of trading securities, options, and futures can be substantial. Customers must consider all relevant risk factors, including their own personal financial situation before trading. In our teaching of how to trade the markets, in our newsletters, webinars and our involvement in the Investment Clubs, neither NOBEL Living, LLC, the parent company of NeverLossTrading®, or any of the speakers, staff or members act as stockbrokers, broker dealers, or registered investment advisers. We worked out trading concepts and share them through education with our members and clients.

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

NeverLossTrading - Financial Market Evaluation: Stocks, Bonds, Futures, Currencies, Commodities

The rising US-Dollar is not based on internal strength but on Irelands banking problem in the Euro zone. What will come next?

1. Currencies

Today, November 16, 2010, the key market influencer was the US-Dollar. So why did we see the Dollar rising. Not because of internal strength, but because of financial trouble in the Euro zone. After Greece getting bailed out it looks now that Irelands Banking system need the support of Brussels, which increases the overall amount of Euro floating and by that the Dollar in relation increases.

If we look at the dollar value it is composed of:

Euro 57.6%

JPY 13.5%

GBP 11.9%

CAD 9.1%

S-Krona 4.2%

CHF 3.2%

Others 0.5%



So when the Euro Drops, the US-Dollar Rises



2. US Economic Indicators

Basically positive, even so on a small scale, but the rising dollar made the market tumble today:

The National Association of Home Builders said its homebuilder confidence index rose to 16 in November from a downwardly revised 15 in October. Economists had been expecting the index to edge down to 15 from the reading of 16 originally reported for the previous month.



The Labor Department said its producer price index rose by 0.4 percent in October, matching the increases seen in each of the two previous months. Economists had been expecting the index to increase by a more significant 0.8 percent.



Excluding a jump in energy prices as well as a modest drop in foods prices, the core producer price index fell by 0.6 percent in October after edging up by 0.1 percent in September. The drop came as a surprise to economists, who had expected core prices to increase by 0.1 percent.



Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve said that industrial production was unchanged in October after falling by 0.2 percent in September. Economists had been expecting production to increase by 0.3 percent.



3. Stock Market

Wal-Mart (WMT) reported third-quarter net income of $0.95 per share, topping estimates for earnings of $0.90 per share. Sales came in at $101.2 billion, short of consensus estimates for $102.43 billion for the quarter.Wal-Mart also forecast fourth quarter earnings of $1.29 to $.133 per share, above the $1.28 per share mark forecast on Wall Street.



Home improvement retailer and Dow component Home Depot Inc. (HD) posted third-quarter earnings of $0.51 per share, just above the $0.48 per share estimates for the period. Quarterly sales totaled $16.6 billion, above the $16.59 billion expected for the quarter.

4. Bonds and Notes

The big sell off on Bonds and Notes continues and might have found a potential bottom today. Interesting how the market exited bonds so rapidly even so a big demand will be generated by the Fed, buying back $600 billion in Bonds.

5. Commodities

On the front of commodities, the rising US Dollar did his dues and we are showing landslides to the downside: Gold, Crude Oil, Wheat, Sugar whatever you touch is on run down.



6. Conclusion

All securities cannot run into one direction, one side has to give: Bonds or Socks, Stocks or Commodities. The dollar strength is theoretical and might find a top at 80 Cents (/DX Dollar Index).

Under any circumstances it is a good time for day trading and even so the overall direction is down, there might be a good opportunity for a short term rise of Stocks and Commodities with a sell at the Thanksgiving Week.

Good Trading !

http://NeverLossTrading.com

Thursday, November 11, 2010

New Forex Regulations – Who takes the lead for Currencies: Futures or Spot?

With the new regulations for Forex that came into place the landscape for margin requirements changed (see our article: http://neverlosstrading.wordpress.com/2010/10/12/new-forex-regulations/) .
We made a first calculation comparing key features of the one towards the other investment vehicle.

See it yourself in the following table. There are various pros and cons, but they are pretty tight to each other now:



Some of the key pros and cons are:

EUR/USD Spot has the advantage of offering mini and micro accounts allowing the novice investors a playground where they can risk less money to test the markets. By offering more variability the spot market allows for better fine tuning on dollar investments.

Currency futures are regulated, there is always a trader on the other side of the contract. In the spot market, the market price is a theoretical calculation and your broker takes the other side of the trade, which is a scary thought for many investors.

All in all, spot and futures go hand in hand in their daily moves, while the spot market shows more spikes which can be an advantage or disadvantage.

Good Trading!