In the dynamic realm of financial markets, traders continuously seek reliable indicators to navigate the complexities and uncertainties. Among the myriad tools available, NLT signals stand out by their purported ability to provide actionable insights into market movements. Retail traders primarily use futures as day trading instruments, and we invite you to consider long-term trading them with high yield expectations.
This article delves into the power of combining NLT Top-Line and NLT SwingPower (our newest development) for a higher participation rate in longer-term directional price moves of futures contracts, and we document the mechanical performance of trading signals when confirmed.
NLT Top-Line highlights crucial price turning points early at momentum changes.
NLT SwingPower recognizes changes in the frequency of transactions, often preceding a solid directional price move and extrapolating a price move forecast.
In our research, we investigate the trading performance of weekly chart signals.
Methodology
At NeverLossTrading (NLT), we favor eight futures contracts most friendly for retail traders based on their volume (number of contracts exchanged per day), volatility, and accessibility. In addition, we check that they are independent and not correlated movers.
NLT Favored Futures for Retail Traders
With their inherent leverage, futures offer the potential for remarkable returns, enticing traders with the promise of substantial profits. However, this allure comes hand in hand with significant risk, especially when trades do not unfold as anticipated. The table vividly illustrates the broad spectrum of return expectations, ranging from an impressive 38% to a staggering 67%.
By the NLT concept, we are extrapolating potential price moves as SPU (Speed Unit) and briefly explain how we let the system forecast or extrapolate price moves after signal confirmation (price threshold surpassed in the price movement of the next candle).
NLT SPU Move Model
The basis of the NLT SPU Move Model derives from:
Basis of the NLT SPU Move Model
In the next step, we will document the results of NLT Trade Indications for the past twelve months, charting our favored Futures contracts. Simplifying the process, we accept signals mechanically, not applying the rules you will learn during our one-on-one mentorship, where we focus on your specific wants and needs.
Next, we analyze the past year’s results and are almost ashamed of the highly positive results documented.
Analysis of Confirmed Signals
Each NLT signal spells out a price threshold: Buy > or Sell <; The next candle’s price movement must tick out the set price threshold; otherwise, we will ignore it. Dots on the charts are exit points.
On our list of preferred futures contracts, we reference ETFs you can trade if Futures are not your favorite instruments or in addition to the NLT Delta Force Options Trading Concept.
Examples of Confirmed and not Confirmed Signals
After an in-depth chart analysis, we let the chart decide when to buy or sell, and we documented mechanical trading results, accepting each confirmed signal.
NLT Signal Performance
In addition, we check for correlated price move happenings and uncorrelated ones to document the following results:
Week of the Confirmed NLT Signal
In summary:
23 independent confirmed trading opportunities
Six happenings with more than one symbol triggered confirmed buying or selling opportunities:
5/15/2023 (/ZB and /CL)
7/24/2023 (/ZB, /ZN, /6E)
9/25/2023 (/ZB, /GC)
10/16/2023 (/6E, /6C)
10/30/2023 (/ES, /ZB, /6C)
11/27/2023 (/ZN, /GC)
Twenty-nine trading opportunities in a one-year time frame: 2.4 trades per month
The holding time of open positions varied between one and ten weeks, with an average of about three weeks for open positions.
Considering the high ROI rates (38% to 67%) inherent in longer-term futures trading, those instruments offer an excellent investment opportunity for retail traders. By trading six days a week around the clock, they allow for fully automated trading, triggering at the system-set target or stop with a broker that allows you GTC orders (good till canceled). Next, we share the charts for researching these highly independent trading instruments.
If you prefer stock options trading, we referenced the best choice underlying in our table, like SPY about the E-Mini S&P 500 futures contract. We then help you to identify with the NLT Delta Force Concept:
The strike price to choose.
The time to options expiration to select
The maximum premium to pay or to apply a different options trading strategy like a credit or debit spread, with the minimum premium to receive or the maximum premium to pay.
Whatever instrument you choose, here are the charts and NLT indications to base your decisions on:
Trade What You See, Let the Chart Tell When To Buy or Sell!
E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Conctract
30 Years Bond Futures
10 Year Notes Futures
Euro Futures
Australian Dollar Futures
Canadian Dolla Futures
Crude Oil Futures
Gold Contract Futures
Conclusion
In conclusion, our comprehensive analysis integrating the NLT SwingPower signal with the NLT Top-Line on weekly charts has yielded compelling results.
We are offering the two systems together in a bundle deal and are happy to demonstrate live how they perform:
The current market provides a solid ground to capture short- to medium-term price moves with 1% to 5% return rates based on cash, holding open positions between one to ten trading days. Using margin or portfolio margin leverages the return expectations multifold, and we will share actual examples.
While swing traders aim to capitalize on price fluctuations, they often face challenges such as market volatility, unexpected reversals, and emotional decision-making. The NeverLossTrading method and trade repair techniques offer swing traders a powerful solution to tackle these obstacles. In this article, we will explore how the NeverLossTrading method, augmented with trade repair strategies, addresses swing traders’ problems and enhances their trading outcomes.
One of the critical challenges swing traders face is inconsistency in their decision-making process. Emotions like fear, greed, and impatience can cloud judgment, leading to impulsive trades. The NeverLossTrading method provides a systematic approach to trading, focusing on objective data-driven analysis and predefined trade plans. By removing emotional influences, swing traders can make more consistent and rational decisions, improving their overall trading performance by:
System-set trade entry points for buy-stop and sell-stop orders at high probability indications
System-defined exit points with maximum time in a trade
Trade adjustment by integrating options trading strategies instead of exiting the trade at the stop price level.
Let us review some chart examples, picking an ETF first: XLK. If you like to invest in technology stocks, XLK is a solid ETF composed of prime shares like:
AAPL 23.16%
MSFT 21.93%
NVDA 5.03%
AVGO 4.41%
ADBE 2.95%
CRM 2.59%
CSCO 2.51%
ACN 2.35%
AMD 2.17%
ORCL 2.12%
In addition, XLK provides a solid option chain, which is crucial if you like to exercise short trading strategies in non-margin accounts like IRAs or live in Canada.
We help traders with the NLT Dela Force Concept to simplify options trading by defining the following:
The appropriate strategy for the setup
The strike price to buy
The maximum price to pay or premium to collect
Time to expiration to pick
The return expectation
Setting conditional orders to open a position only when other market forces act in the picked direction
You also learn how to combine stocks and options from the get to protect positions at times of trouble.
XLK, NLT Top-Line Chart July 2023
The chart shows three trade situations to discuss and explain:
Situation-1: Buy > $176.63 confirmed in the price movement of the next candle. The stop was below the candle, and the system set two targets for the exit, assuming the first target to be reached in 1-5 days and the second in up to 10 days. Both targets were reached in their anticipated time, and the open position closed.
Situation-2: Sell < $175.67 confirmed in the price move of the next candle; however, the way to target was cut short by an NLT Box Line, and this is where the price bounced back, but we know in advance and exited with an appropriate trading strategy that kept risk and reward in a meaningful balance or did not take the trade.
Situation-3: Sell < $173.60, confirmed and reached the target in two trading days.
There are rules to learn, and we work with our subscribers one-on-one, teaching and coaching at your best available days and hours.
By what you learned, judge the XLP chart and appraise how valuable it is to exit trades at target-2, where the price, by our stats, only has a 15% chance to continue its directional move and an 85% chance not to.
XLP, NLT Top-Line Chart July 2023
For the skeptics, let us quickly provide answers:
Did the price move reach target-2?
Yes, it did on 7/27/23 with an exit at $76.21 and by programming your transactions condition-to, you do not need to be in front of your screens at order entry or exit.
Why did no further price move indications occur on the chart after July 27?
XLP had no NLT Top-Line Price move indications, but other instruments had, and you want to trade where prices move, letting the chart tell when to buy or sell.
How do I find those opportunities?
With NeverLossTrading Top-Line, you can work with your market scanners or subscribe to our stock trading alerts and receive daily alerts highlighting potential swing trading opportunities for Futures and FOREX, Stocks, ETFs, Options, news events and more.
We share our NLT Alerts between midnight and 6 a.m. ET, getting you ready for each new trading day.
NLT Example Alert for Industry Sectors and ETFs: 8/3/2023
NLT PowerTower is the strongest signal, highlighting selling opportunities for three sectors that came to their system-set target. Let us continue with stock examples:
Check the AAPL chart and judge if the system provided directional swing trading indications at high probability price turning points.
AAPL, NLT Top-Line Chart 6/16 – 8/4/2023
To get you familiar with our work and alert reports, we offer you to receive two weeks of the NLT Swing Trading Alerts for free:
We have helped traders since 2008 to improve their trading performance, and we are open for new students; however, by working one-on-one, spots are limited, and you do not want to miss out on our Summer Special that ends Labor Day.
We best explain in an example the learning elements to get you prepared to strive for solid swing trading returns:
A student shared that he had an open short position in AMZN from February of 2023, controlling 600 shares, a cash value of about $60,000, that needed repair because he did not close the position at the target. He was in the money at the trade stop level with a solid potential of getting exercised, so he needed to take action or close the position for a $10,000 loss.
AMZN NLT Top-Line Chart
Chart Analysis
Shorting AMZN on 2/17/2023 was legit by a confirmed NLT sell signal.
The trade reached its system-set target on 2/24/23 but was not closed. Being greedy brings trouble: After a 2-SPU move, there is only a 15% chance for the trade to continue in that direction.
Buy > $100.42 on 3/30 with a gap up, brought the trade to either the stop or trade repair level. We got asked if there was a method of trade repair for this case: short six Call options contracts. We are not financial advisers, so most students do not share open positions, but we were asked and started to work on the case, checking if there was still a solution to repair the trade. Here are the action steps that followed:
We helped the client obtain a portfolio margin, which reduced the margin value of the open position to about $10,000, including stocks to add, freeing up capital for other investments.
The short call position was rolled and transformed in multiple steps. We added Put options, cashing in the premium for rolling the Call position without additional capital need, and finally added Stock to participate in the signal-based anticipated long direction.
When everything works out to plan, this is how the risk/reward profile of the newly generated position will look.
AMZN Risk/Reward Position after Trade Repair
Suppose AMZN trades above $120 by the October expiration; the client will cash in an income of $9,500 on an investment of $10,000 of portfolio margin, producing a 95% return on capital engaged in eight months on an original $10,000 losing position at the 3/30/2023 stop-loss-level.
The action steps taken to transform this position might look foreign to you, and they are not common knowledge but learnable. We are here for you to share our methods of trade repair and more elements that will help you strive for swing trading success:
Minimizing Losses and Protecting Capital
Market volatility is an inherent aspect of trading, and swing traders often encounter trades that move against their initial positions. The NeverLossTrading method emphasizes risk management and capital preservation. With stop-loss orders, position sizing techniques, and dynamic hedging strategies, swing traders can minimize losses and protect their capital from significant drawdowns.
Trade Repair Strategies for Adverse Movements
Unexpected reversals can be disheartening for swing traders, especially when their trades are in the negative territory. However, the NeverLossTrading method offers trade repair strategies to manage such situations effectively. Instead of prematurely panicking and exiting losing trades, traders can employ various techniques, such as option strategies, to repair losing positions and potentially turn them into profitable ones.
Maximizing Profit Potential
One of the primary objectives of swing trading is to capitalize on price moves and maximize profits. The NeverLossTrading method enables swing traders to identify and execute favorable entry and exit points through meticulous technical and fundamental analysis. By staying disciplined and adhering to a well-defined trade plan, traders can optimize their profit potential and achieve consistent gains over time.
Adapting to Changing Market Conditions
The financial markets are dynamic, and what works in one market condition may not be suitable for another. Swing traders need the ability to adapt their strategies to changing market dynamics. The NeverLossTrading method equips traders with the tools to identify market cycles and adjust their trading approaches accordingly. By staying flexible and proactive, swing traders can stay ahead of market trends and increase their trading success.
Enhancing Trading Confidence
Confidence is a critical factor for any trader’s success. The NeverLossTrading method instills confidence in swing traders by providing them with a structured and proven trading approach. As traders witness positive results from their fact-based decision-making, their confidence grows, and they become better equipped to tackle the challenges of swing trading.
Conclusion
Swing trading offers exciting opportunities to profit from short- to medium-term price movements in financial markets. However, swing traders face various challenges, including emotional decision-making, market volatility, and unexpected reversals. The NeverLossTrading method, focusing on objective analysis, risk management, and trade repair strategies, is a powerful solution to these problems.
By following the NeverLossTrading method, swing traders can enhance their decision-making consistency, minimize losses, and protect their capital. The trade repair strategies empower traders to manage adverse market movements effectively, potentially turning losing trades into profitable ones. As a result, swing traders can maximize their profit potential, adapt to changing market conditions, and bolster their trading confidence.
Remember, no trading method can guarantee 100% success. Still, with the NeverLossTrading method, swing traders can equip themselves with a robust and systematic approach to improve their overall trading outcomes and achieve long-term success in the dynamic world of swing trading.
Our Offer
We help our students simplify technical analysis by providing a holistic approach that combines chart patterns, trend analysis, and market indicators. Traders are equipped with practical tools and methodologies to identify high-probability trade setups, helping them make informed decisions based on market trends and price action.
Executing trades at the right time and price can be challenging, especially in fast-moving markets. NeverLossTrading offers techniques for precise trade entries and exits, allowing traders to capture optimal returns. With its focus on high-probability setups and systematic approach, NeverLossTrading helps traders improve their trade execution and timing, maximizing their profit potential.
The financial markets are dynamic and ever-evolving, requiring traders to stay updated and continuously learn. NeverLossTrading promotes a culture of continuous learning, providing educational resources, webinars, and personalized mentoring. Traders gain access to a wealth of knowledge and expertise, empowering them to adapt to changing market conditions and enhance their trading skills.
Trading challenges are an inherent part of the financial markets, but with the solutions offered by NeverLossTrading, traders can overcome these hurdles and thrive in their trading endeavors. By addressing emotional biases, providing effective risk management techniques, simplifying technical analysis, optimizing trade execution, and fostering continuous learning, NeverLossTrading equips traders with the tools and knowledge needed for success. Embrace the solutions provided by NeverLossTrading and embark on a journey toward consistent profitability and trading excellence.
To succeed in trading, you best work with an experienced coach. Our #1 competitive advantage is the support and customer service we offer. Veteran traders have been through more ups and downs than you can imagine. So, experienced pros have probably experienced whatever you’re going through. If you are ready to make a difference in your trading. We are happy to share our experiences and help you build your trading business. Trading is not a typical career, and you best learn from those who are long-term in this business to cope with the rollercoaster of the financial markets. We are here to help and provide feedback on what you might be doing right or wrong. Strive for improved trading results, and we will determine which of our systems suits you best. The markets changed, and if you do not change your trading strategies with them, it can be a very costly undertaking. Hence, take trading seriously, build the skills, and acquire the tools needed. Trading success has a structure you can learn and follow.
Thomas Barmann (inventor and founder of NeverLossTrading)
